Predictive models for disaggregate stock market volatility
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Investigating the Asymmetry in Volatility for the Iranian Stock Market
This paper investigates the asymmetry in volatility of returns for the Iranian stock market using the daily closing values of the Tehran exchange price index (TEPIX) covering the period from March 25, 2001 to July 25, 2012, with a total of 2743 observations. To this end, two sets of tests have been employed: the first set is based on the residuals derived from a symmetric GARCH (1,1) model. The...
متن کاملUnderstanding Stock Market Volatility
One of the most prominent features of the U.S. stock market is the close connection between aggregate stock market volatility and the development of the business cycle. Figure 1 depicts the statistical relation between stock market volatility and the industrial production growth rate over the last sixty years, which shows that stock volatility is largely countercyclical, being larger in bad tim...
متن کاملExchange rate volatility and its effect on stock market volatility
This paper investigates empirically the effect of volatility of the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar vis-à-vis the euro on U.S. stock market volatility while controlling for a number of drivers of stock return volatility. Using a GARCH(1, 1) model and using weekly data covering the period from the week of January 1, 1999 through the week of January 25, 2010, it is found that the 9/11 terrorist ...
متن کاملStock Market Volatility and Learning1
We study a standard consumption based asset pricing model with rational investors who entertain subjective prior beliefs about price behavior. Optimal behavior then dictates that investors learn about price behavior from past price observations. We show that this imparts momentum and mean reversion into the equilibrium behavior of the price dividend ratio, similar to what can be observed in the...
متن کاملStock Market Volatility and Learning
Consumption-based asset pricing models with time-separable preferences can generate realistic amounts of stock price volatility if one allows for small deviations from rational expectations. We consider rational investors who entertain subjective prior beliefs about price behavior that are not equal but close to rational expectations. Optimal behavior then dictates that investors learn about pr...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Financial Markets and Portfolio Management
سال: 2017
ISSN: 1934-4554,2373-8529
DOI: 10.1007/s11408-017-0291-2